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Demand Forecasting

FIT Next-Sizing Scanner

We are developing the FIT Next-Sizing Scanner, a deployed tool in the Google Cloud Platform (GCP) that connects to BigQuery data and focuses on the capture of Next-Sizing events that occur to help planners better understand true historical demand. The solution leverages a phased, agile methodology for rapid development, testing, and delivery of a prototype for direct deployment onto DLA's GCP environment with Impact Level 5 (IL5) compliance. The solution will be a deployed user interface frontend and backend both powered by cloud run that interact with underlying data stored in Bigquery.

Agency
Defense Logistics Agency (DLA)
Capabilities
AI Applications
01 / Customer Challenge

The challenge our customer brought us.

The Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) faces inaccurate apparel sizing forecasts for new military recruits due to recent upward trends in recruit sizes. Current forecasting methods lead to invalid pre-positioned stock, forcing DLA to fulfill demands through special orders with significantly longer lead times (90-120 days). This impacts service readiness and supply chain efficiency. The DLA also has limited communication with recruit centers when it comes to data sharing, which adds complexity when trying to manage the combination of current customer needs and future expected demand.

Next-Sizing is when a recruit receives a uniform that is improperly sized because the optimal size for them is not available. It is particularly troubling because it is somewhat frequent due to the vast number of SKUs supported and it causes a self-propagating distortion signal in future forecasts. The problem being that the demand for the item that ran out of stock is only as high as what was available, whereas the “true” demand for the thing is in actuality higher, but a simple forecast will use the erroneous number and continue to predict a number that is too small for one SKU, and a number too large for others. This causes the issue to repeat itself.

02 / Knexus Approach

What we designed and delivered.

A rapid AI solution to create a data-driven, repeatable, and accurate process for predicting apparel size distribution.

Mitigates expensive emergency procurement delays (90–120+ days) that result from apparel stockouts and recruit sizing distortion signals.
Processes historical demand across enterprise data pipelines to replace invalid pre-positioned inventory with predictive sizing models.
03 / Mission Impact

The difference it made.

By capturing and quantifying these signals, FIT helps improve the underlying forecasting tools to more accurately align with customer needs and allow the DLA to more effectively prepare the appropriate stock.

Improves speed, accuracy, and compliance while meeting strict cybersecurity and data privacy requirements.
Enables a streamlined central location for multiple users to work on existing and create new JVs.
Leveraging automation, validation and AI tooling users are able to expedite existing steps and the process overall.

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